Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for yakima, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 29. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 26, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 8 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 28 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 16 | Jan 7 |
Last 20° | Mar 28 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 6 | Jan 27 |
Last 24° | Apr 24 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 4 |
Last 28° | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
Last 32° | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 26 |
Last 36° | Jun 29 | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 26 | May 18 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 1
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 8
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 1 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
First 20° | Oct 19 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 6 |
First 24° | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
First 28° | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
First 32° | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
First 36° | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.