Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for wright, mn
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 3, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 15 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 |
Last 20° | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 |
Last 24° | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 |
Last 28° | May 29 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
Last 32° | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 28 | May 25 | May 21 | May 15 |
Last 36° | Jul 3 | Jun 27 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 28 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 31.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 10
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 20
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 |
First 20° | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
First 24° | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
First 28° | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 |
First 32° | Aug 26 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 |
First 36° | Aug 13 | Aug 19 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.