Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for winnemucca, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 12. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 12, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 24 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 2 | Apr 21 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Feb 28 |
Last 20° | May 16 | May 7 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 27 |
Last 24° | May 18 | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 |
Last 28° | Jun 12 | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 25 |
Last 32° | Jun 29 | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 26 | May 19 |
Last 36° | Jul 12 | Jul 6 | Jul 2 | Jun 28 | Jun 24 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 6 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 4.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 16 |
First 20° | Sep 26 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
First 24° | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
First 28° | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 10 |
First 32° | Aug 29 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 |
First 36° | Aug 13 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.