Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for whitehorse rch, or
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 15. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 29 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 25 | Apr 14 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 4 | Feb 21 |
Last 20° | May 7 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 |
Last 24° | May 25 | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 9 |
Last 28° | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 3 |
Last 32° | Jun 30 | Jun 24 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 23 |
Last 36° | Jul 15 | Jul 10 | Jul 6 | Jul 2 | Jun 29 | Jun 26 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 13 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 30.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 12
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 26
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 13 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
First 20° | Oct 2 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 12 |
First 24° | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
First 28° | Sep 5 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 |
First 32° | Aug 22 | Aug 30 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Oct 4 |
First 36° | Aug 18 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.