Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for wells, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 19. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 1 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 7 | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 20 |
Last 20° | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 |
Last 24° | Jun 6 | May 30 | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 25 |
Last 28° | Jun 18 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 13 |
Last 32° | Jul 6 | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | May 31 |
Last 36° | Jul 19 | Jul 13 | Jul 8 | Jul 5 | Jul 1 | Jun 28 | Jun 24 | Jun 19 | Jun 13 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 21.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 16
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 26 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 |
First 20° | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
First 24° | Sep 6 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 16 |
First 28° | Aug 30 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 5 |
First 32° | Aug 14 | Aug 21 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 23 |
First 36° | Aug 5 | Aug 11 | Aug 16 | Aug 20 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 5 | Sep 12 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.