Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for weaverville, ca
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 29, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 28 | Feb 14 | Feb 3 | Jan 24 | Jan 14 | Jan 3 | Dec 20 | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Apr 17 | Mar 30 | Mar 17 | Mar 6 | Feb 23 | Feb 12 | Jan 31 | Jan 16 | Dec 18 |
Last 24° | May 5 | Apr 23 | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 10 | Feb 27 |
Last 28° | May 20 | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 7 |
Last 32° | Jun 10 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | Apr 30 |
Last 36° | Jun 30 | Jun 24 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 23 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 25.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 6
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 17
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 13 | Nov 28 | Dec 9 | Dec 20 | Dec 30 | Jan 12 | Jan 30 | -- | -- |
First 20° | Oct 26 | Nov 8 | Nov 17 | Nov 26 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 | Dec 20 | Dec 31 | Jan 21 |
First 24° | Oct 13 | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 26 | Dec 5 |
First 28° | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 10 |
First 32° | Sep 19 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 |
First 36° | Aug 30 | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 7 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.