Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for waycross, ga
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 25. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 3 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 9 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 | Jan 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 16 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 | Jan 16 |
Last 28° | Mar 29 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 13 | Feb 4 |
Last 32° | Apr 8 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 18 |
Last 36° | Apr 25 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 23.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 6
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 21
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 27 | Jan 12 | Jan 28 | Feb 21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Dec 30 | Jan 6 | Jan 14 | Jan 24 | -- | -- |
First 24° | Nov 10 | Nov 23 | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 25 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 24 |
First 28° | Oct 30 | Nov 10 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 22 | Jan 2 |
First 32° | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 |
First 36° | Oct 10 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 19 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.