Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for toledo express wso, oh
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 15.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 26
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 5
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 15 | Dec 18 | Dec 22 | Dec 26 | Jan 1 |
First 20° | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 |
First 24° | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 |
First 28° | Oct 21 | Oct 28 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 29 |
First 32° | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
First 36° | Sep 26 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 3 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 9. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 27 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 16 | Feb 7 |
Last 20° | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
Last 24° | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 |
Last 28° | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 |
Last 32° | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
Last 36° | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.