Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for syracuse, ne
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 24.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
First 20° | Oct 19 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
First 24° | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
First 28° | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 |
First 32° | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
First 36° | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 16. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 24, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 3 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 23 |
Last 20° | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
Last 24° | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
Last 28° | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 |
Last 32° | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
Last 36° | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.