Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for sprague river, or
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 31. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 13, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 20 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 23 | May 9 | Apr 29 | Apr 20 | Apr 12 | Apr 4 | Mar 27 | Mar 17 | Mar 3 |
Last 20° | Jun 12 | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 20 | May 14 | May 9 | May 3 | Apr 25 | Apr 16 |
Last 24° | Jul 9 | Jun 29 | Jun 23 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 25 | May 16 |
Last 28° | Jul 20 | Jul 13 | Jul 8 | Jul 4 | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 10 |
Last 32° | Jul 27 | Jul 21 | Jul 17 | Jul 13 | Jul 10 | Jul 7 | Jul 3 | Jun 29 | Jun 23 |
Last 36° | Jul 31 | Jul 27 | Jul 25 | Jul 22 | Jul 20 | Jul 18 | Jul 16 | Jul 13 | Jul 9 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 7.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around August 16
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by August 26
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 26 | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 |
First 20° | Sep 4 | Sep 12 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 24 |
First 24° | Aug 22 | Aug 30 | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 7 |
First 28° | Aug 5 | Aug 13 | Aug 19 | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 14 | Sep 22 |
First 32° | Aug 1 | Aug 7 | Aug 10 | Aug 13 | Aug 16 | Aug 19 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Aug 31 |
First 36° | Jul 31 | Aug 2 | Aug 4 | Aug 5 | Aug 6 | Aug 7 | Aug 8 | Aug 10 | Aug 12 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.