Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for south pass city, wy
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by August 1. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 4, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 15 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 27 | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 12 |
Last 20° | Jun 12 | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 24 | May 20 | May 15 | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 26 |
Last 24° | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 22 | May 16 | May 8 |
Last 28° | Jul 5 | Jun 27 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 28 | May 20 |
Last 32° | Jul 24 | Jul 15 | Jul 8 | Jul 2 | Jun 27 | Jun 22 | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | May 31 |
Last 36° | Aug 1 | Jul 26 | Jul 22 | Jul 19 | Jul 15 | Jul 12 | Jul 8 | Jul 4 | Jun 28 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 10.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around August 23
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 4
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 10 | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 25 |
First 20° | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 10 |
First 24° | Aug 25 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 29 |
First 28° | Aug 14 | Aug 20 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 18 |
First 32° | Aug 4 | Aug 10 | Aug 15 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 4 | Sep 11 |
First 36° | Jul 31 | Aug 4 | Aug 8 | Aug 12 | Aug 15 | Aug 18 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Sep 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.