Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for shreveport, la
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 17. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 19, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by March 30 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 1 | Jan 19 | Jan 8 | Dec 25 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 17 | Feb 7 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 17 | Jan 9 | Dec 30 | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 10 | Feb 28 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 | Jan 19 | Jan 7 |
Last 28° | Mar 18 | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 28 |
Last 32° | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
Last 36° | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 6.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 18
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 30
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 18 | Dec 29 | Jan 8 | Jan 21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 14 | -- | -- |
First 24° | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 |
First 28° | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
First 32° | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
First 36° | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.