Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for prosser, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 2. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 10, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 19 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 25 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 |
Last 20° | Mar 14 | Mar 3 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 |
Last 24° | Apr 11 | Apr 1 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 | Feb 8 |
Last 28° | May 1 | Apr 22 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 | Mar 8 |
Last 32° | May 16 | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 10 |
Last 36° | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 28.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 9
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 20
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 13 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 11 |
First 20° | Nov 1 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 |
First 24° | Oct 10 | Oct 19 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Dec 3 |
First 28° | Oct 6 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
First 32° | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
First 36° | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.