Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for port gibson, ms
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 18. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 26, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 4 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 15 | Feb 4 | Jan 25 | Jan 16 | Jan 5 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Mar 5 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 | Feb 7 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 7 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 12 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 18 | Feb 13 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 27 |
Last 28° | Mar 20 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 |
Last 32° | Apr 9 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 |
Last 36° | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 27.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 7
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 17
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 10 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 5 | Jan 15 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Nov 29 | Dec 11 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 19 | Jan 31 | -- |
First 24° | Nov 12 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 11 |
First 28° | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
First 32° | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
First 36° | Oct 7 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.