Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for pomona lake, ks
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 13.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 22
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 31
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 |
First 20° | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 |
First 24° | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 3 |
First 28° | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
First 32° | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 |
First 36° | Sep 26 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 5. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 14, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 22 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 4 |
Last 20° | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 |
Last 24° | Apr 5 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
Last 28° | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 |
Last 32° | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 |
Last 36° | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.