Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for paradise valley, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 24. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 23, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 5 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 1 | Apr 18 | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 | Mar 3 | Feb 19 |
Last 20° | May 17 | May 7 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Mar 29 | Mar 19 |
Last 24° | May 26 | May 19 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 13 |
Last 28° | Jun 15 | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 13 | May 6 |
Last 32° | Jul 3 | Jun 27 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | May 30 |
Last 36° | Jul 24 | Jul 18 | Jul 13 | Jul 9 | Jul 5 | Jul 2 | Jun 28 | Jun 23 | Jun 17 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 9
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 19
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 7 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 21 |
First 20° | Sep 23 | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
First 24° | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
First 28° | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 7 |
First 32° | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 25 |
First 36° | Aug 10 | Aug 16 | Aug 20 | Aug 24 | Aug 27 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 13 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.