Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for newport, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 20. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 3, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 21 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 30 | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 |
Last 20° | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 |
Last 24° | May 5 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 |
Last 28° | May 23 | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 17 |
Last 32° | Jun 26 | Jun 16 | Jun 8 | Jun 2 | May 27 | May 21 | May 15 | May 8 | Apr 27 |
Last 36° | Jul 20 | Jul 10 | Jul 3 | Jun 27 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 3 | May 24 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 15
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 25
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 20 | Oct 30 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 | Dec 17 |
First 20° | Oct 7 | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Dec 1 |
First 24° | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 |
First 28° | Sep 9 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 19 |
First 32° | Aug 31 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Oct 1 |
First 36° | Aug 15 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 21 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.