Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for new philadelphia, oh
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 3.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 11
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 8 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 |
First 20° | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
First 24° | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
First 28° | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
First 32° | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
First 36° | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 1. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 6, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
Last 20° | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 |
Last 24° | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
Last 28° | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
Last 32° | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 |
Last 36° | Jun 1 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | Apr 30 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.