Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for montello, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 10, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 23 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 30 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 18 | Mar 9 |
Last 20° | May 14 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 |
Last 24° | May 20 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
Last 28° | Jun 11 | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 9 | May 2 |
Last 32° | Jul 1 | Jun 24 | Jun 18 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 25 | May 18 |
Last 36° | Jul 13 | Jul 6 | Jul 1 | Jun 27 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 4 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 8
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 17
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 29 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 12 |
First 20° | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 |
First 24° | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
First 28° | Sep 2 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 7 |
First 32° | Aug 24 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 23 |
First 36° | Aug 14 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 14 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.