Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for minden, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 13, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 25 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 21 | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Feb 27 | Feb 16 |
Last 20° | May 4 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 |
Last 24° | May 21 | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 9 |
Last 28° | Jun 5 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 | Apr 30 |
Last 32° | Jul 2 | Jun 26 | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 23 |
Last 36° | Jul 13 | Jul 7 | Jul 2 | Jun 28 | Jun 25 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 6 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 6.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 29
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 |
First 20° | Oct 4 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 |
First 24° | Sep 25 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
First 28° | Sep 7 | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 16 |
First 32° | Aug 31 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 5 |
First 36° | Aug 12 | Aug 18 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 16 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.