Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for martinsville, in
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 7
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 15
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 21 |
First 20° | Oct 26 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 6 |
First 24° | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
First 28° | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
First 32° | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
First 36° | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 28. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 26, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 8 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
Last 20° | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
Last 24° | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 |
Last 28° | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
Last 32° | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
Last 36° | May 28 | May 21 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 19 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.