Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for lindbergh lake, mt
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 11. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 9, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 |
Last 20° | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 |
Last 24° | May 3 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
Last 28° | May 31 | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
Last 32° | Jun 25 | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 23 | May 17 | May 9 |
Last 36° | Jul 11 | Jul 4 | Jun 29 | Jun 25 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 9 | Jun 2 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 3.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 12
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 22
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 |
First 20° | Sep 30 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 12 |
First 24° | Sep 24 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
First 28° | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 8 |
First 32° | Aug 29 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 27 |
First 36° | Aug 15 | Aug 20 | Aug 24 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 16 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.