Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for kremmling, co
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by August 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 2, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 15 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 8 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 3 |
Last 20° | May 22 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
Last 24° | Jun 9 | Jun 2 | May 27 | May 23 | May 19 | May 14 | May 10 | May 5 | Apr 27 |
Last 28° | Jun 17 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 14 |
Last 32° | Jul 10 | Jul 4 | Jun 30 | Jun 26 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 6 |
Last 36° | Aug 3 | Jul 27 | Jul 22 | Jul 18 | Jul 15 | Jul 11 | Jul 7 | Jul 2 | Jun 26 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 20.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 2
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 14
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 24 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
First 20° | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
First 24° | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 |
First 28° | Aug 28 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 28 |
First 32° | Aug 14 | Aug 20 | Aug 25 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 14 | Sep 20 |
First 36° | Jul 28 | Aug 2 | Aug 7 | Aug 10 | Aug 14 | Aug 17 | Aug 21 | Aug 25 | Sep 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.