Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for jump river, wi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 26.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 9
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 22
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
First 20° | Sep 25 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 5 |
First 24° | Sep 16 | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 26 |
First 28° | Sep 5 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 |
First 32° | Aug 19 | Aug 26 | Aug 31 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 29 |
First 36° | Aug 7 | Aug 15 | Aug 20 | Aug 25 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 12 | Sep 20 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 9. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 4, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 18 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 |
Last 20° | May 5 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
Last 24° | May 22 | May 15 | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 13 |
Last 28° | Jun 12 | Jun 5 | May 30 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 12 | May 6 | Apr 29 |
Last 32° | Jun 23 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 19 |
Last 36° | Jul 9 | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 18 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 4 | May 27 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.