Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for iron mt kingsford wwtp, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 21
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 28
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 |
First 20° | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
First 24° | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
First 28° | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
First 32° | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 |
First 36° | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 24. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 27, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 7 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 |
Last 20° | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
Last 24° | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 |
Last 28° | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
Last 32° | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 12 |
Last 36° | Jun 24 | Jun 18 | Jun 14 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 22 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.