Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for holland wtp, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 1.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 10
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 7 | Dec 10 | Dec 13 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 |
First 20° | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 |
First 24° | Oct 22 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
First 28° | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
First 32° | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 |
First 36° | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 11. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 7, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 21 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 |
Last 20° | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 |
Last 24° | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
Last 28° | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
Last 32° | May 25 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
Last 36° | Jun 11 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 12 | May 7 | Apr 30 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.