Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for hastings, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 27.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 5
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 13
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 |
First 20° | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 |
First 24° | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
First 28° | Sep 30 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Nov 2 |
First 32° | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
First 36° | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 12, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 25 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
Last 20° | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 |
Last 24° | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
Last 28° | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
Last 32° | May 28 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 24 |
Last 36° | Jun 13 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 12 | May 5 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.