Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for glenville, wv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 31. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 3, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 14 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 4 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 |
Last 20° | Apr 16 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 |
Last 24° | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 |
Last 28° | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
Last 32° | May 23 | May 18 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
Last 36° | May 31 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 27 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 22
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 4 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 18 |
First 20° | Oct 26 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
First 24° | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
First 28° | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
First 32° | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
First 36° | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.