Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for glenoma, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 13. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 13, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 25 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 18 | Feb 4 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 | Jan 2 | Dec 16 | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 27 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 6 | Dec 25 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 28 | Mar 15 | Mar 5 | Feb 25 | Feb 18 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 23 | Jan 10 |
Last 28° | May 1 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
Last 32° | May 24 | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 15 |
Last 36° | Jun 13 | Jun 7 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 22 | May 18 | May 13 | May 6 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 27.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 8
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 19
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 3 | Dec 17 | Dec 28 | Jan 8 | Jan 21 | Feb 12 | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Nov 14 | Nov 26 | Dec 5 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 | Dec 28 | Jan 6 | Jan 18 | -- |
First 24° | Nov 5 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Jan 2 |
First 28° | Oct 6 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 22 |
First 32° | Sep 22 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 25 |
First 36° | Sep 1 | Sep 9 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 17 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.