Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for gallatin, mo
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 15.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 26
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 6
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 9 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 |
First 20° | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
First 24° | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 |
First 28° | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
First 32° | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
First 36° | Sep 28 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 11 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 10. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 20, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 28 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 |
Last 20° | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 26 |
Last 24° | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
Last 28° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 |
Last 32° | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
Last 36° | May 10 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.