Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for farmington, ut
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 5, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 17 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 21 | Mar 13 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Jan 30 |
Last 20° | Apr 3 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 22 | Feb 14 |
Last 24° | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 |
Last 28° | May 6 | Apr 27 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 |
Last 32° | May 24 | May 16 | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 | Apr 7 |
Last 36° | Jun 3 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 5 | Apr 29 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 29.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 12
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 10 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
First 20° | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 5 |
First 24° | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 |
First 28° | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
First 32° | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 31 |
First 36° | Sep 15 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.