Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for ely, nv
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 27. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 26, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 8 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 12 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 5 |
Last 20° | May 24 | May 18 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 |
Last 24° | Jun 12 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 8 |
Last 28° | Jun 26 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 22 |
Last 32° | Jul 10 | Jul 4 | Jun 29 | Jun 25 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 10 | Jun 4 |
Last 36° | Jul 27 | Jul 21 | Jul 16 | Jul 12 | Jul 8 | Jul 5 | Jul 1 | Jun 26 | Jun 19 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 23.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 1
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 9
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Sep 28 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 3 |
First 20° | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
First 24° | Sep 6 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
First 28° | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
First 32° | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 14 |
First 36° | Aug 6 | Aug 11 | Aug 15 | Aug 18 | Aug 22 | Aug 25 | Aug 28 | Sep 1 | Sep 6 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.