Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for dallesport, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 16. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 21, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 1 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 15 | Feb 6 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 12 | Jan 3 | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 21 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 26 | Jan 20 | Jan 13 | Jan 5 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 18 | Mar 7 | Feb 27 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 24 | Jan 13 |
Last 28° | Apr 15 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 | Mar 5 | Feb 25 |
Last 32° | May 2 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 |
Last 36° | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 9.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 20
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 31
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 21 | Dec 4 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 31 | Jan 9 | Jan 21 | Feb 11 | -- |
First 20° | Nov 7 | Nov 22 | Dec 3 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 | Jan 11 | Jan 26 | -- |
First 24° | Oct 27 | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 | Dec 14 | Dec 24 |
First 28° | Oct 17 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
First 32° | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
First 36° | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.