Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for columbia, sd
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 16.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 23
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 30
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 15 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 |
First 20° | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
First 24° | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 |
First 28° | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 |
First 32° | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 |
First 36° | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 29. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 8, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 |
Last 20° | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 |
Last 24° | May 4 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
Last 28° | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
Last 32° | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
Last 36° | May 29 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 4 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.