Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for cle elum, wa
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 29. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 27, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 9 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 8 | Feb 2 | Jan 25 |
Last 20° | Apr 7 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 22 | Feb 13 |
Last 24° | Apr 29 | Apr 22 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 17 |
Last 28° | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
Last 32° | Jun 9 | Jun 2 | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 7 | Apr 30 |
Last 36° | Jun 29 | Jun 22 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 27 | May 20 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 7.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 27
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 29 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 |
First 20° | Oct 17 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 30 |
First 24° | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
First 28° | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
First 32° | Sep 2 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
First 36° | Aug 25 | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 22 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.