Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for cambridge, id
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 30. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 31, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 12 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 19 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 |
Last 20° | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 22 |
Last 24° | May 7 | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 18 |
Last 28° | May 19 | May 13 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 |
Last 32° | Jun 18 | Jun 10 | Jun 4 | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 17 | May 11 | May 3 |
Last 36° | Jun 30 | Jun 24 | Jun 19 | Jun 15 | Jun 12 | Jun 9 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 25 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 14.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 23
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 2
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 30 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 |
First 20° | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 |
First 24° | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
First 28° | Sep 15 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 20 |
First 32° | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
First 36° | Aug 26 | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.