Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for burlington, wi

How to read these charts for the fall
As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for burlington, wi start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around September 25, and by October 12 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.

The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:

  1. You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 29.
  2. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 6
  3. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 12
  4. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Nov 7 Nov 12 Nov 16 Nov 19 Nov 22 Nov 24 Nov 27 Dec 1 Dec 6
First 20° Oct 23 Oct 29 Nov 2 Nov 6 Nov 9 Nov 12 Nov 16 Nov 20 Nov 26
First 24° Oct 14 Oct 19 Oct 23 Oct 26 Oct 29 Nov 1 Nov 5 Nov 8 Nov 14
First 28° Sep 28 Oct 4 Oct 8 Oct 12 Oct 15 Oct 19 Oct 22 Oct 27 Nov 2
First 32° Sep 25 Sep 29 Oct 1 Oct 3 Oct 6 Oct 8 Oct 10 Oct 12 Oct 16
First 36° Sep 18 Sep 22 Sep 24 Sep 27 Sep 29 Oct 1 Oct 4 Oct 7 Oct 11

How to read these charts for the spring
As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day. Eventually, the frost stops, and this is when your tender plants are fully safe. So, how do you plan for this? The probabilities on this page help you assess your risk of frost on any given day.

What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".

In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 4. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 6, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 18 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° Apr 2 Mar 28 Mar 24 Mar 21 Mar 18 Mar 16 Mar 13 Mar 9 Mar 4
Last 20° Apr 13 Apr 8 Apr 5 Apr 2 Mar 31 Mar 28 Mar 25 Mar 22 Mar 17
Last 24° Apr 28 Apr 23 Apr 19 Apr 16 Apr 13 Apr 10 Apr 6 Apr 3 Mar 28
Last 28° May 10 May 5 May 1 Apr 28 Apr 25 Apr 22 Apr 19 Apr 16 Apr 11
Last 32° May 25 May 19 May 14 May 10 May 7 May 3 Apr 29 Apr 25 Apr 19
Last 36° Jun 4 May 29 May 25 May 21 May 18 May 14 May 11 May 6 Apr 30

Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.