Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for bucyrus, oh
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 4.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 12
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 20
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 16 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
First 20° | Nov 2 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 9 |
First 24° | Oct 16 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 |
First 28° | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 |
First 32° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
First 36° | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 24. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 29, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 9 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 2 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 25 |
Last 20° | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
Last 24° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 |
Last 28° | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 |
Last 32° | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 |
Last 36° | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.