Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for boyne falls, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 8.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 27
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
First 20° | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
First 24° | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 |
First 28° | Sep 16 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 24 |
First 32° | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
First 36° | Aug 15 | Aug 22 | Aug 26 | Aug 30 | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 23 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 15. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 1, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 19 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 |
Last 20° | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 20 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 |
Last 24° | May 15 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 |
Last 28° | May 30 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | Apr 30 |
Last 32° | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 19 |
Last 36° | Jul 15 | Jul 6 | Jun 29 | Jun 24 | Jun 19 | Jun 13 | Jun 8 | Jun 1 | May 23 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.