Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for bloomingdale, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 10
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 10 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 |
First 20° | Oct 29 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 5 |
First 24° | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 20 |
First 28° | Sep 30 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 4 |
First 32° | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
First 36° | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 16. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 16, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 29 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
Last 20° | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 |
Last 24° | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
Last 28° | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
Last 32° | May 30 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 27 |
Last 36° | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 16 | May 10 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.