Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for benton harbor, mi
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 28.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 9
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 21
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 12 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 20 |
First 20° | Oct 28 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 11 |
First 24° | Oct 11 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 28 |
First 28° | Oct 2 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 |
First 32° | Sep 21 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
First 36° | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 10. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 8, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 21 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
Last 20° | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
Last 24° | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
Last 28° | May 12 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
Last 32° | May 31 | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 25 |
Last 36° | Jun 10 | Jun 3 | May 29 | May 25 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 8 | May 1 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.