Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for beloit, ks
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 5.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 15
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 24
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 6 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 |
First 20° | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 4 |
First 24° | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
First 28° | Oct 11 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
First 32° | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
First 36° | Sep 18 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 16 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 15. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 22, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 1 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 1 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 | Feb 6 |
Last 20° | Apr 6 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 |
Last 24° | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 28 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 |
Last 28° | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 |
Last 32° | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
Last 36° | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.