Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for barrington, il
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 30.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 9
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 18
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 |
First 20° | Oct 27 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Dec 2 |
First 24° | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
First 28° | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 10 |
First 32° | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 |
First 36° | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by June 4. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on May 3, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 4 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
Last 20° | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 |
Last 24° | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 |
Last 28° | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
Last 32° | May 21 | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 12 |
Last 36° | Jun 4 | May 29 | May 24 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 26 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.