Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for albert lea, mn
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 26.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 3
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by October 10
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 28 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 |
First 20° | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
First 24° | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
First 28° | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
First 32° | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
First 36° | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 |
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by May 22. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 30, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by May 9 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 8 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
Last 20° | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 |
Last 24° | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 |
Last 28° | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Mar 31 |
Last 32° | May 16 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
Last 36° | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.