Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Yellowpine, ID
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by August 3. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 14, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | May 2 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
Last 20° | May 17 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 |
Last 24° | Jun 15 | Jun 6 | May 31 | May 26 | May 20 | May 15 | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 25 |
Last 28° | Jul 9 | Jul 3 | Jun 28 | Jun 25 | Jun 21 | Jun 17 | Jun 13 | Jun 9 | Jun 2 |
Last 32° | Jul 26 | Jul 20 | Jul 15 | Jul 12 | Jul 8 | Jul 5 | Jul 1 | Jun 27 | Jun 21 |
Last 36° | Aug 3 | Jul 30 | Jul 27 | Jul 24 | Jul 22 | Jul 19 | Jul 17 | Jul 14 | Jul 10 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 7.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around August 17
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by August 27
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 |
First 20° | Sep 15 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 |
First 24° | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 3 |
First 28° | Aug 17 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Aug 30 | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 19 |
First 32° | Aug 2 | Aug 7 | Aug 11 | Aug 14 | Aug 17 | Aug 20 | Aug 23 | Aug 27 | Sep 2 |
First 36° | Jul 29 | Jul 31 | Aug 2 | Aug 4 | Aug 6 | Aug 7 | Aug 9 | Aug 11 | Aug 14 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.