Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Wolf Canyon, NM

How to read these charts for the spring
As the growing season approaches, the days get longer, the weather begins to warm up, and the nights start being less cold. You're still getting frost, but the chance of nightly frosts gets less and less with each passing day. Eventually, the frost stops, and this is when your tender plants are fully safe. So, how do you plan for this? The probabilities on this page help you assess your risk of frost on any given day.

What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".

In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 27. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on July 1, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by July 11 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.

In the Spring
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Last 16° May 15 May 7 May 1 Apr 26 Apr 21 Apr 16 Apr 11 Apr 6 Mar 28
Last 20° May 31 May 24 May 18 May 14 May 9 May 5 Apr 30 Apr 25 Apr 17
Last 24° Jun 15 Jun 7 Jun 2 May 29 May 25 May 21 May 17 May 12 May 5
Last 28° Jun 28 Jun 23 Jun 19 Jun 16 Jun 12 Jun 9 Jun 6 Jun 2 May 28
Last 32° Jul 11 Jul 6 Jul 2 Jun 29 Jun 26 Jun 24 Jun 21 Jun 17 Jun 12
Last 36° Jul 27 Jul 22 Jul 18 Jul 15 Jul 11 Jul 8 Jul 5 Jul 1 Jun 25

How to read these charts for the fall
As your growing season comes to an end, the nightly temperatures for Wolf Canyon, NM start to go down, and therefore every day that goes by increases the chance that you'll get frost. Your risk of frost really begins around August 16, and by September 16 you're almost certain to have received at least one frost event.

The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:

  1. You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by August 22.
  2. There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 4
  3. You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 16
  4. Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
In the Fall
Temperature 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
First 16° Oct 6 Oct 12 Oct 16 Oct 20 Oct 23 Oct 26 Oct 30 Nov 3 Nov 9
First 20° Sep 24 Sep 30 Oct 4 Oct 8 Oct 11 Oct 14 Oct 18 Oct 22 Oct 28
First 24° Sep 14 Sep 19 Sep 23 Sep 26 Sep 30 Oct 3 Oct 6 Oct 10 Oct 15
First 28° Sep 6 Sep 10 Sep 13 Sep 16 Sep 19 Sep 22 Sep 24 Sep 28 Oct 2
First 32° Aug 16 Aug 22 Aug 27 Aug 31 Sep 4 Sep 7 Sep 11 Sep 16 Sep 23
First 36° Aug 1 Aug 8 Aug 13 Aug 17 Aug 21 Aug 25 Aug 30 Sep 4 Sep 11

Frost Dates for other nearby locations
  • Cuba, NM
  • Lindrith, NM
  • Abiquiu Dam, NM
  • Los Alamos, NM
  • El Vado Dam, NM
  • Star Lake, NM
  • El Rito, NM
  • Lybrook, NM
  • Tierra Amarilla, NM
  • Albuquerque, NM

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    • Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.