Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Wewahitchka, FL
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 8. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 1, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by March 16 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Jan 16 | Dec 28 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Jan 28 | Jan 12 | Dec 27 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 24° | Feb 26 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Feb 1 | Jan 25 | Jan 17 | Jan 4 | -- | -- |
Last 28° | Mar 7 | Feb 26 | Feb 20 | Feb 14 | Feb 10 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 15 |
Last 32° | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 12 | Feb 5 |
Last 36° | Apr 8 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 21 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by November 13.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 30
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by December 17
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Jan 10 | Jan 29 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 24 | Jan 7 | Jan 21 | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 24° | Dec 12 | Dec 24 | Jan 2 | Jan 11 | Jan 19 | Jan 29 | Feb 13 | -- | -- |
First 28° | Nov 21 | Dec 2 | Dec 9 | Dec 15 | Dec 22 | Dec 28 | Jan 3 | Jan 10 | Jan 21 |
First 32° | Nov 4 | Nov 13 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 |
First 36° | Oct 21 | Oct 29 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 9 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.