Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for West Glacier, MT
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by July 8. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on June 12, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by June 22 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Apr 11 | Apr 4 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
Last 20° | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
Last 24° | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
Last 28° | May 24 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
Last 32° | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 23 | May 18 | May 10 |
Last 36° | Jul 8 | Jul 3 | Jun 29 | Jun 26 | Jun 22 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by September 6.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around September 14
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by September 22
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
First 20° | Oct 9 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 23 |
First 24° | Sep 22 | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 3 |
First 28° | Sep 11 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 |
First 32° | Sep 2 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
First 36° | Aug 14 | Aug 19 | Aug 23 | Aug 26 | Aug 29 | Sep 1 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 13 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.