Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Webbers Falls, OK
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 26. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on April 5, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 13 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Mar 9 | Feb 26 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 | Jan 20 | Jan 11 | Dec 29 |
Last 20° | Mar 17 | Mar 8 | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 25 |
Last 24° | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 |
Last 28° | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 3 |
Last 32° | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
Last 36° | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 20.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around October 31
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 10
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Nov 19 | Dec 1 | Dec 10 | Dec 17 | Dec 24 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 | Jan 17 | Jan 31 |
First 20° | Nov 13 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 14 | Dec 19 | Dec 27 |
First 24° | Nov 3 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 |
First 28° | Oct 23 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
First 32° | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
First 36° | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.