Frost Dates: First and last frost dates for Walterboro, SC
What's a safe temperature for tender plants? When the nightly temperature falls, frost can form, even above 32°, because the air is colder high above the ground and the frost can form up there and then fall down onto your garden and do some damage, even if it's 36° on the ground. So many factors come into play, including wind, concrete, houses, trees and other structures, etc etc etc. Because of all this, you might want to consider 36° as "the danger zone".
In your average springtime, you have a 90% chance that there will be no 36° nights by April 26. In other words, you can pretty much count on being safe from frost by that day. But we want to get those tomatoes in the ground as soon as possible, right? We see that there's still an 80% chance of 36° on March 24, so we don't dare plant that early. We wait a few days and by April 6 we are at the 50/50 point. At this point, we are close and we can start watching the weather forecast. If the upcoming week's forecast doesn't show below 40°, then it's probably okay to risk planting out your plants.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Last 16° | Feb 11 | Jan 31 | Jan 23 | Jan 14 | Jan 2 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
Last 20° | Feb 27 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 24 | Jan 16 | Jan 5 | -- |
Last 24° | Mar 10 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 17 | Feb 13 | Feb 9 | Feb 4 | Jan 28 |
Last 28° | Mar 26 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 |
Last 32° | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 2 |
Last 36° | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
The charts on this page show the probabilities of receiving a certain temperature on a certain day. Some examples that might help:
- You have a small 20% chance of getting 32° by October 27.
- There is a 50% chance of being hit by a 32° frost starting around November 8
- You have a 80% chance of seeing 32° by November 20
- Said another way, you have a 1 in 5 chance at making it to that day without a 32° night.
Temperature | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
First 16° | Dec 29 | Jan 9 | Jan 19 | Jan 29 | Feb 16 | -- | -- | -- | -- |
First 20° | Dec 2 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 6 | Jan 13 | Jan 23 | Feb 6 | -- |
First 24° | Nov 13 | Nov 24 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 8 | Jan 19 |
First 28° | Oct 30 | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 19 |
First 32° | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
First 36° | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
Data is provided by the NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information.